经济增长是各国经济政策的重要目标,从理论角度探索经济增长的影响因素一直是个重点课题.文章针对湖北省的经济增长及其主要影响变量1990—2012年的年度数据,结合因子分析法和多元线性回归算法,并引入时间变量建立计量经济模型,对湖北省经济增长的影响因素进行了剖析.实证结果表明,人力资本、知识资本、物质资本增长对经济增长的贡献为53.46%,外商投资对经济增长的贡献高达35%,因此湖北经济的增长属于投资驱动型.
Economic growth is the core objective of economic policy in the world. So exploring the factors of economic growth in theory has been an important theme for the scholars. Combined with the relevant data from 1990 to 2012, the paper analyses the factors affecting Hubei Province economic growth by the factor analysis method and multiple linear regression model which introduces a time variable. The evidence calculated by the model shows that the contribution reaches 53.46 percent totally by human capital, knowledge capital and material capital. And the foreign investment's contribution was up to 35 percent on the economic growth. The economic growth of Hubei Province is stimulated by the investments.