结合林业系统的远景规划,提出了“20a+20a”的林业建设模式。根据该模式,从2004年开始,经过20a的造林工作,我国森林覆盖率将达到25%,再经过20a将达到30%。剔除每年2×10^8m。的木材采伐量,在第1个20a期间,平均年消耗大气C折合CO22.24×10^8t,占1996年我国CO2排放量的27.8%;以森林覆盖率25%计算,在第2个20a期间,平均年消耗大气C折合CO26.31×10^8t,占1996年我国CO2排放量的78.3%。将每年2×10^8m^3的木材采伐量计算在内,则消耗的CO2分别为8.32×10^8t和12.36×10^8t,约占1996年CO2排放量的103%和153%。在“20a+20a”模式下,我国森林系统将成为巨大的碳汇。这一方面可使我国的生态环境得到优化,实现国民经济的可持续发展,另一方面可减轻我国在碳排放问题上所受到的国际压力,有利于拓宽我国的经济发展空间。
A "20 years +20 years" forestry construction pattern was proposed based on the long term planning of Chinese Forestry Department. According to the pattern, China forest coverage will achieve 25% in 2023, and the numbar will be 30% in 2043. Rejecting the yield of wood harvest (2 × 10^8 m^3/a), the average CO2 consumption of China forest systems is 2. 24 × 10^8 t/a in the former 20 years and 6. 31 × 10^8 t/a in the latter 20 years, the ratios of CO2 emission making up respectively 27. 8% and 78.3% in 1996. And the CO2 consumption will increase to 8. 32 × 10^8 t/a and 12.36 × 10^8 t/a, the ratios 103% and 153% of 1996's emission. China forest will be a giant carbon sink based on the forestry constructiion pattern. The afforestation will set up a coordinate ecological environment in China, and realize a sustainable national economy development. The consumption of CO2 may reduce the international pressure to China on carbon emission, therefore develop the space of Chinese economy.