中文摘要：

在对人口结构、城镇化与人力资本三系统耦合机理及其动态跃迁机制全面解析的基础上，构建三系统耦合模型，对1997～2014年中国省域三系统的综合指数及系统耦合的时空演进特征进行了分析。结果表明，中国各省区城镇化、人力资本指数保持较快的增长态势，而人口结构指数则呈下降趋势。同时，各区域三系统耦合均已进入协调发展阶段，且呈由东至西递减态势，但耦合演化进程较为缓慢。未来全面推进人口城镇化，并充分发挥人力资本优势，实现人口数量红利向人口质量红利的转变，是有效减轻人口结构负面效应，从而最终实现系统耦合持续演进的关键之举。

英文摘要：

Based on the comprehensive analysis of the coupling mechanism of urbanization,human capital and economic growth and its dynamic transition mechanism,a three-system coupling model was constructed,which was used to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of the level of three-system index and system coupling from1997to2014.The results show that the level of urbanization and human capital index maintains rapid growth,while the level of demographic structure index shows a downward trend.At the same time,the system coupling has entered a coordinated development in every region,and the trend is decreasing from east to west.But the growth rate of the coupling evolution is slow.In the future,Comprehensively promoting the population urbanization and taking full advantage of human capital to realize the transition from demographic quantity dividend to demographic quality dividend will be the key to resist the negative effects of Demographic Structure and ultimately to realize the continuous evolution of system coupling.