采用了出口集中度和出口多样化指标实证分析了苹果出口集中度对中国苹果出口不稳定性的影响。研究结果表明,中国苹果出口的地理分布主要集中在亚洲地区。中国苹果出口地理集中度高,亚洲对中国鲜苹果出口不稳定性的贡献率小于其集中度,中国鲜苹果出口能够通过向亚洲地区,尤其是东盟出口大量商品来稳定出口额,不必采取出口地区多元化的战略。
By means of export concentration and diversity indices, this paper analyzes the impact of export concentration on the instability of China's export of apples. The result shows that the geographical concentration is high and mainly lies in Asia; however, Asia's contribution to China's export of fresh apples is not as high as its concentration should have promised. China could export more apples to other areas, especially ASEAN, via Asia to achieve stabilization of its export of apples instead of adopting diversity strategies.