中文摘要：

利用1 325份浙江、四川、河南3省农村未迁移居民的入户调查数据,运用二元Logistic回归方法进行相关验证,分析中国东中西部3个省份的农村未迁移居民的迁移意愿.研究结果表明：年龄、家庭中在读学生数量、户籍政策对迁移意愿有负向显著影响.受教育年限、家庭年总收入有正向显著影响.城市的社会关系和计划生育政策对迁移意愿影响并不显著.从分省分析结果表明：受教育年限、打工年限、户籍制度、户主年龄、家庭年总收入在不同省份农村居民的迁移意愿有影响,但影响因素存在地区差异.在上述实证研究的基础上,提出相应的政策建议.

英文摘要：

Based on a survey of 1 325 farmer households in Zhejiang, Sichuan and Henan Province, this paper use logistic regression models to emprical analyze the migration intentions of rural households in three provinces chosen from Central, Eastern and Western of China. The result shows that age, numbers of students and Hukou policy have a significant negative impact on migration intention. Duration of education and total household income have a positive significant impact. Social network and One Child policy have no significant impact on migration intention. The analysis of different provinces shows that： duration of education, duration of working, Hukou policy, age and total household income have a significant impact on migration intention. However, there is regional heterogeneity in the three provinces. Based on the empirical study, this paper puts forward some policy implications.