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基于广义第二类beta分布的洪水频率分析
  • ISSN号:1000-0852
  • 期刊名称:《水文》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:TV122[水利工程—水文学及水资源]
  • 作者机构:[1]华中科技大学水电与数字化工程学院,湖北武汉430074, [2]武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,湖北武汉430072
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(51679094,51239004); 湖北省自然科学基金项目(BZY15026)
中文摘要:

精确计算设计洪水值对水利水电工程规划设计至关重要,其关键问题之一是选择合适的分布函数。目前多数研究仅选取单一的频率分布线型进行洪水频率分析,其设计洪水结果具有较大的不确定性。研究引入一种新的广义分布函数,即第二类beta分布(Generalized beta distribution of the second kind,GB2),进行洪水频率分析。该四参数分布具有较好的灵活性,基本可拟合任何偏度和峰度的曲线。采用最大熵原理推求分布函数的参数。研究利用科罗拉多河流域数据检验广义第二类beta分布函数的拟合效果,并将所提分布与水文中的其它传统分布进行比较分析。结果表明:四参数的广义第二类beta分布非常适于水文频率分析,其拟合效果基本优于水文中的其它传统分布。

英文摘要:

T-year flood estimation at a given location in mountainous areas is a crucial task for design of hydraulic and civil in-frastructure facilities. One of the key steps in flood frequency analysis(FFA) is the selection of a suitable distribution. More than one distribution is often found to be adequate for FFA, and choosing the best one is often less than objective. In order to over-come this difficulty, generalized beta distribution of the second kind(GB2 distribution) was introduced in this study. And the prin ciple of maximum entropy method(POME) was employed to derive this distribution with its parameters to be estimated. The Col-orado River was selected as a case study. The maximum stream flow data from the sites, Steamboat Springs, Near Colorado-Utah and Hoover Dam, were considered to test the perfor mances of GB2 distribution. Finally, the fitting results of GB2 distribution at Hoover Dam were compared with those of common used distributions in hydrology. The results indicate that GB2 distribution is an appealing option for FFA, since it has four parameters and include some well-known distributions. Compared with the widely used distribution in hydrology, the performances of Gb2 distribution is comparable.

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期刊信息
  • 《水文》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国水利部
  • 主办单位:水利部水利局
  • 主编:邓坚
  • 地址:北京市白广路二条2号
  • 邮编:100053
  • 邮箱:J.hyd@mwr.gov.cn
  • 电话:010-63203599
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1000-0852
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1814/P
  • 邮发代号:2-430
  • 获奖情况:
  • 《CAJ-CD规范》执行优秀奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:10092