国际金融危机对世界国际旅游业影响的传导机制是什么?对其影响进行科学分析与预测的指标是什么?其影响的状况与特点是什么?其影响的趋势及我国的对策又是什么?本文运用国际经济学与旅游经济学原理,收集分析世界经济与世界国际旅游业发展的统计资料,对具有代表性的旅行社、旅游饭店与旅游景区点进行调查研究,同时对我国国际化程度最高的世界著名旅游城市香港进行比较研究,从而回答上述问题。本文的主要内容包括:(1)国际金融危机对世界国际旅游业发展影响的传导机制与分析预测指标的构建与验证;(2)国际金融危机对世界国际旅游业发展影响的现状、特征与趋势,以及我国的对策研究。
What is the impact transferring mechanism of international financial crisis on world international tourism? What are the indicators for analyzing and forecasting? What are the status and features of the impact? What are the trends and our countermeasures? This thesis applied International Economics and Tourism Economics principles with the collected data of world economy and the international tourism to survey the representative hotels and travel agencies and scenery sports, comparing the experiences of international tourism city Hong Kong, and explored into the following issues: (1) the impact transferring mechanism of international financial crisis on world international tourism the design of the indicators for analyzing and forecasting the impact; (2) studies of the mechanism and studies of the empirical test of the indicators for analyzing and forecasting the impact ;(3) studies of the trends of impact of international financial crisis world international tourism and China' s countermeasures.