情景分析近年来被认为是将气候变化及其影响联系在一起的较好途径。本文从情景的定义、分类等方面概述了情景在气候变化研究中的应用过程,并回顾了IPCC历年发布的温室气体排放情景,介绍了IPCC新情景的内容,为今后的气候变化研究提供参考依据。
Scenario analyses are considered to be a better way to link climate change and impact research in recent years. This paper summarizes the scenario application progress in climate change research from its definition, classification and so on. IPCC released emission scenarios over the years had been reviewed and new IPCC scenarios had been introduced in this paper which be help for future climate change research.