本文利用DEA-Malmquist法,对1980—2011年间东盟各国的全要素生产率变化及其成分进行测算,并对其进行收敛性分析。研究结果显示,在观察期内(1)除新加坡、文莱、印度尼西亚全要素增长率为负外,其他东盟国家均为正。技术进步和技术效率均会对全要素生产率产生影响,就本文样本来说,技术进步的贡献更大;(2)1984—1986年、1996—1998年以及2002—2004年期间东盟整体出现了3次较为剧烈的全要素生产率的波动;(3)随着东盟一体化进程的推进,区域内贸易投资增加,东盟各国的全要素生产率表现出显著的收敛性。
The objective of this paper is to measure and decompose ASEAN countries' TFP from 1980 to 2011 based on technical progress,using Data Envelopment Analysis( DEA),and examine its convergence. The major conclusions are( 1) the TFP growth rate of Singapore,Brunei and Indonesia are negative,the other ASEAN countries are positive. Technical progress and technical efficiency will affect TFP change;( 2) there are three severe fluctuations of TFP during the period of 1984-1986,1996-1998 and 2002-2004;( 3) Along with the advancement of integration process,regional trade and investment,ASEAN countries show a significant convergence.