中文摘要：

“9·11”事件以来,恐怖袭击已经成为当前最为棘手的全球性安全问题。近年来,东突伊斯兰运动等国际恐怖组织不断在我国境内实施恐怖袭击,特别是2013年4月9日后,“伊拉克和大叙利亚伊斯兰国”（ISIS）极端组织迅速扩张,对我国国家安全和公共安全构成了严重威胁。人流密度高、内部结构复杂的大型复杂商业综合体往往面临着更严峻的潜在恐怖袭击威胁,但是针对大型复杂商业综合体恐怖袭击社会脆弱性的研究却很少。本文结合国外大型复杂商业综合体己经发生的恐怖袭击案例,以上海国金中心商场IFC Mall为实证研究样例,采集社会计量数据和社会调查数据,通过典型事件专家访谈方法,提取恐怖袭击社会脆弱性特征变量,编制IFC Mall恐怖袭击社会脆弱性量表,开发测量大型复杂商业综合体恐怖袭击社会脆弱性的量表工具,并实际检验了量表的构思效度、内容效度和信度。因素分析结果指出,大型复杂商业综合体恐怖袭击社会脆弱性主要是装箱货品及危险品的高度暴露性和低度敏感性、商场高密度人群和高流量人群的高度暴露性和低度敏感性。本研究开发的大型复杂商业综合体恐怖袭击社会脆弱性量表,可以用于实际测量潜在恐怖袭击的暴露性和敏感性,为上海城市安全治理决策部门提供恐怖袭击风险管理的科学支撑。

英文摘要：

Since the＂9 · 11＂ incident, terrorist attacks have become the most intractable global security issues. In recent years, the East Turkestan Islamic movement and other international terrorist organizations will continue in the territory of China＇ s implementation of the terrorist attacks, especially after 2013 April 9th, the rapid expansion of the Islamic state of Iraq and Syria （ISIS） extremist organizations, to our national security and public safety constitute the serious threat. Stream of people of high density, internal complex structure of large complex commercial complexes are often faced with more serious potential threat of terrorist attacks, but for large complicated commercial complex terrorist attacks social vulnerability research is rare. According to the classical cases from foreign complicated commercial complex terrorist attacks, we chose Shanghai IFC Mall as the research sample, collecting social measurement data and social survey data,by the methods of typical event expert interview, we extract the characteristic variables of terrorist attacks social vulnerability, and then set up the scale of IFC Mall terrorist attacks social vulnerability , measure the large complicated commercial complex terrorist attacks social vulnerability, and test the scale construct validity, content validity and reliability, the factor analysis results indicate that, for large complicated commercial complex, its terrorist attacks social vulnerability is mainly high exposure and low sensitivity for high density and high traffic shopping malls crowd and packing goods and dangerous goods. The research and development of large complicated commercial complex terrorist attacks social vulnerable volume table, can be used to measure the actual potential terrorist attacks of exposure and sensitivity, to provide scientific support for the terrorist attacks of risk management for Shanghai urban security management decision-making departments