选取我国2000-2012年的保鲜大蒜出口及价格数据,分别从国内和国际两个角度分析导致我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定的主要影响因素.结果显示,在保鲜大蒜出口数量相对稳定的情况下,我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定性主要是由出口价格影响的,而我国大蒜市场供求关系决定的国内保鲜大蒜批发价格单向影响保鲜大蒜出口价格;影响我国保鲜大蒜出口收入增长的国际因素则是竞争力效应和需求效应,结构效应的影响较小.
Based on the data about quantity and price of China's fresh garlic export from 2000 to 2012, this paper analyses the main influencing factors of the instability of China's fresh garlic export revenue from both domestic and international perspectives. The results show that when the export quantity is relatively stable, the export price is the main factor that influencing the instability of China's garlic export revenue, the garlic's domestic wholesale price determined by domestic supply and demand influences export price. Internationally, the main influencing factors of China's garlic export revenue growth is the competitive effect and demand effect, while the influence of structure effect is non-significant.