选取我国香港、上海、北京和广州4个典型城市为研究对象,采用Mann-Kendal趋势分析法,分析这4个城市建筑垃圾总量、单位GDP、单位人口和单位施工面积的建筑垃圾产生量变化,同时探究建筑垃圾产生量与经济发展的关系。研究结果表明:处于快速城市化进程中的上海、北京和广州城市建筑垃圾总量一直呈上升趋势,年均增长率平均为8.32%;3个城市单位GDP建筑垃圾产生量持续下降,年均下降率平均为8.55%,香港单位GDP建筑垃圾产生量明显较低且较为稳定;香港和北京单位人口建筑垃圾产生量基本维持为2t/人,而上海约为1t/人,广州单位人口建筑垃圾产生量呈现上升趋势;北京、上海和广州3个城市的平均单位施工面积建筑垃圾产生量为22.62t/(100m2),其中北京下降趋势明显;提出将单位施工面积建筑垃圾产生量22t/(100m2)作为建筑垃圾产生量预测依据;香港城市建筑垃圾增长与人均GDP之间表现为先上升后下降的库兹涅茨曲线,上海、北京和广州则基本表现为线性上升曲线。
Four typical cities,i.e.,Hong Kong,Shanghai,Beijing and Guangzhou were selected as research objectives, and Mann-Kendal trend analysis method was used to detect the four cities’change of the total amount of construction waste after 1990s,and the amounts of per unit GDP,per unit population and per unit area were analyzed,and meanwhile, the relationship between construction waste and economic development was also explored.The results show that:For the cities such as Shanghai,Beijing and Guangzhou,which are in their process of rapid urbanization,the total amount of construction waste presents an obvious upward trend,and has an average annual growth rate of 8.32%;the amount of per unit GDP in these three cities continues to decline with an average annual rate of 8.55%,but that of Hong Kong is significantly lower and more stable.The amount of construction waste of per unit population in Hong Kong and Beijing always maintain at the level of 2 t per person,while that of Shanghai is almost at 1 t per person,but Guangzhou exhibits an upward trend.The mean value of the amount of construction waste of per unit area in Shanghai,Beijing and Guangzhou is 22.62 t/(100 m2),Beijing shows an obvious upward trend,and 22 t/(100 m 2)is put forward in this work as a baseline for the prediction of other China cities’construction waste amount.The relationship between total construction waste and per capita GDP of Hong Kong appears an inverse U-shaped curve,but all other cities display standing rising curves.