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Integrated simulation of the dualistic water cycle and its associated processes in the Haihe River Basin

ISSN号：1001-4179
期刊名称：《人民长江》
时间：0
分类：TV87[水利工程—水利水电工程] P339[天文地球—水文科学;水利工程—水文学及水资源;天文地球—地球物理学]
作者机构：[1]State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038, China
相关基金：supported by the National Basic Research Program of China （2006CB403404）; the Innovation Foundation Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China （51021066）; the Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China （50939006）; the National Natural Science Foundation of China （51109224）; National Water Pollution Control and Management Technology Major Projects （2008ZX07209-009-4）; the National Key Technology and R＆D Program （2010BAC69B02）

作者： WANG Hao JIA YangWen YANG GuiYu ZHOU ZuHao QIU YaQin NIU CunWen PENG Hui[1]

关键词：海河流域, 水循环, 综合模拟, 二元, 流域水资源管理, 水环境恶化, 全球气候变化, 自然生态系统, natural–social dualistic characteristics, evolutionary mechanism, water cycle, water environment, ecology, Haihe River Basin

中文摘要：

浇资源缺乏，浇环境恶化，并且流水生态的降级在全球气候变化和强烈人的活动的效果下面在 Haihe 河盆正在变得逐渐地突出。发现方法相当解决这些问题是在盆水资源管理的一项迫切任务。水周期描述每水落下的形成和转变，当它与联系的水生态学和水环境过程交往时。因此，根本上解决上述问题，三个过程必须被联合，生态学的进化趋势和水周期驾驶的水环境一定是坚定的。包括地在盆诊断并且解决水资源，生态学和水环境的问题，在 Haihe 河盆的二元的水周期和它的联系进程的一个综合模拟平台被充分在这研究分析盆水周期的进化的自然聚会的二元的特征建立。因此，由将情形放基于一个气候模式和水控制条件的预言评估水资源，生态学和水环境的未来趋势是一个支持的工具。与水的气候变化，水消费，地下水 overexploitation，和数量，流动到海能很熟开发并且满足的结果表演在计划通过水消费控制管理和南方北方水转向的实现的年 2030 的未来的国家经济生长的要求投射。同时，联系了水环境恶化能被减轻，并且为自然生态系统和 agro 生态系统的生产能力的一个成长趋势被看见。上述结果为实现盆水资源规定和最严格的水资源管理提供一个基础。

英文摘要：

Water resource shortages, water environmental deterioration, and water ecological degradation are becoming increasingly prominent in the Haihe River Basin under the effects of global climate change and intense human activity. Finding ways to solve these problems reasonably is an urgent task in basin water resources management. The water cycle describes the formation and transformation of every water drop, while it interacts with associated water ecology and water environment processes. Therefore, to fundamentally solve the above problems, the three processes must be combined and the evolutionary trends of the ecology and water environment driven by the water cycle must be determined. To comprehensively diagnose and solve the problems of water resources, ecology and water environment in the basin, an integrated simulation platform of the dualistic water cycle and its associated processes in the Haihe River Basin was established by fully analyzing the ＂natural-social＂ dualistic characteristics of the evolution of the basin water cycle in this study. Accordingly, it is a supporting tool to evaluate the future trends of water resources, ecology and the water environment by setting scenarios based on the predictions of a climate mode and water control conditions. The results show that with climate change, the water consumption, groundwater overexploitation, and the amount of water flowing to the sea could develop soundly and satisfy the requirements of national economic growth in the future planning year 2030 through the implementation of water consumption control management and the South-North Water Diversion Project. Meanwhile, associated water environmental deterioration can be alleviated, and a growing trend for production capacities of the natural ecosystem and agro-ecosystem is seen. The above results provide a foundation for implementing basin water resources regulation and the most strict water resources management.

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