本文研究了全球石化产业的演进历程及特征,探讨了其影响因子及作用机制,归纳总结了全球石化产业发展的基本模式。研究认为,全球石化产业经历了萌芽阶段、美国独霸阶段、西欧追赶阶段和生产全球扩散阶段4大发展阶段,技术、原材料、市场、跨国公司、政策等因子是影响全球石化产业发展的主要因素,各因素在不同阶段的作用强度存在差异。在各种因素的综合作用下,全球石化产业呈现出三种发展模式:以美欧等核心经济体为代表的"技术创新推动型"、以拉美和东亚地区为代表的"进口替代型"和以中东北非地区为代表的"出口导向型"。
This paper studied the evolution course and characteristics of global petrochemical industry, expounded the impact factors and its mechanism,and summarized the basic development model of global petrochemical industry. Studies suggest that the global petrochemical industry has experienced four stages: infancy, the United States domination, Western Europe catching up and global production diffusion. Technology, raw materials, markets, multinational corporations and policy are major factors affecting the global petrochemical industry's development. Under the combined effects of various factors, the global petrochemical industry has shown three kinds of development modes: "innovation driven mode" represented by the United States and Europe, "import substitution mode" represented by Latin America and East Asia, "export-orient- ed mode" represented by the Middle East and North Africa region.