欢迎您！东篱公司
退出
-
申报数据库
-
立项数据库
-
成果数据库
-
项目获奖数据库
中文摘要：
为加强船舶的安全管理,提高港口交通事故风险控制能力,在确定对应风险概率分布的基础上,通过采用蒙特卡洛方法,建立在不同能见度下的风险仿真模型.经过对仿真结果的分析处理,得出模型的平均风险值曲线.通过比较不同能见度下的离散风险值,拟合出一定范围内的连续风险曲线.实例表明,仿真模型能很好地反映港口交通风险的趋势,这为不同能见度下的港口航行提供了理论依据,也为相关海事管理部门提供了良好的决策平台.
英文摘要：
In order to strengthen the ship＇s safety management, and improve risk control of port traffic. In this paper, determining the probability distribution to the risk, established risk simulation model under different visibility by Monte Carlo. After analysis of the results of the simulation, the mean risk distribution curve is obtained. Through compare the discrete result under different visibility, fitting a range of continuous risk curve. The example proves that the simulation model can better reflect risk trend of port traffic and can provide theory basis for sea voyage under different visibility and maritime management departments are supported a good platform for decision-making.
同期刊论文项目
同项目期刊论文
期刊信息
位置：