利用中国30个省份1998 ~2010年的面板数据,建立内生分布滞后联立方程模型,研究了人力资本分布结构、收入差距和经济增长后劲的动态关联关系.结果表明:三者之间在即期和长期存在一定的直接相关关系和间接的关联关系,将其加总得到三者相互之间总的关联关系,发现两两之间在即期和长期的负面影响均大于正面影响.结合各指标测算结果,还发现经济发展水平与人力资本分布结构、城乡收入差距均存在倒U型的“库茨涅茨曲线”.
This paper incorporates distribution-lag model into a system of equations to study the dynamic change of the nexus of human capital distribution structure, unequal and growth momentum by using a panel dataset consist of 30 provinces in China 1998-2010. It finds that there is a significant direct correlation and indirect relation between education structure, unequal and growth momentum. After aggregating the relations, it gets total correlation between each other and finds that negative influence is more than positive influence between each other in the instant and long run. Based on the calculation results of the index, it also found that there exists inverted U-shaped Kuznets curve between the level of economic development and human capital distribution structure and unequal.