技术创新投资中往往存在各种不确定性,这是公司决策时必须考虑的因素。在承认收益回报(市场)不确定的基础上,综合考虑了由于技术扩散造成的投资成本不确定性,对技术创新投资时机进行了分析。进而讨论了两种不确定性对投资决策的影响。
Through decision-making, the company must consider different kinds of uncertainties in the technical innovation investment. In our article, we add the cost uncertainty which is caused by the technical progress to the return (market) uncertainty and analyzes the timing of investment in the technological innovation. Then, we discuss the two kinds of uncertainties' effect on the decision-making.