区域经济系统基本符合耗散结构的特征,可以利用熵变模型来度量系统有序度的动态变化。利用灰关联熵和1998—2009年间我国省际面板数据对我国各省际的“资源—经济”系统的有序度进行分析。“资源—经济”这一经济关系存在时变特征,并利用状态空间模型分析资源禀赋对“资源—经济”系统有序度的影响,从而从系统论的角度对“资源诅咒”命题进行了再检验。研究结果表明:在整个样本区间里,“资源—经济”系统的有序度同资源本身有着负相关的关系;资源禀赋对“资源—经济”系统熵变值在2003—2005年三年间的影响是最大的;资源禀赋会通过人力资源途径和制度途径产生“资源诅咒”,但这两种途径的影响度在不断减弱。
This study supports the theory that a regional economic system fits in with a dissipative structure and proposes that dynamic changes of coordination in the system can be measured by using the model of changing entropy. Drawing on the gray relational entropy and China' s provincial panel data between 1998 and 2009, this study analyzes China' s inter - provincial coordination of "resource - economy" systems. It is found that the "resource - economy" relation varies with the change of time and that therefore it is best to look into the effect of resource endowment on the coordination of "resource - economy" systems by using the state - space mode so that the concept of "curse of resources" can be re - examined from the perspective of system theory. Our results indicate that the coordination of "resource - economy" systems has a negative correlation with resource endowment across all the samples; that resource endowment had the strongest effect on the system entropy of "resource - economy" systems between 2003 and 2005; and that resource endowment will generate the "curse of resources" through human resource channel and regime channel, but the effect of both are weakening all along.