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Parameter Estimation for Constantinides-Ingersoll Model from Discrete Observations
  • ISSN号:1000-5781
  • 期刊名称:《系统工程学报》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:O211.6[理学—概率论与数理统计;理学—数学] O211.9[理学—概率论与数理统计;理学—数学]
  • 作者机构:[1]School oflnformation Science and rechnotogy, Donghua University, Shanghai 201620, China, [2]School of Science, Donghua University, Shanghai 201620, China
  • 相关基金:National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.60974030); the Chinese Universities Scientific Fund(No.CUSF-DH-D-2014059)
中文摘要:

The parameter estimation problem for an economic model called Constantinides-Ingersoll model is investigated based on discrete observations. Euler-Maruyama scheme and iterative method are applied to getting the joint conditional probability density function. The maximum likelihood technique is employed for obtaining the parameter estimators and the explicit expressions of the estimation error are given. The strong consistency properties of the estimators are proved by using the law of large numbers for martingales and the strong law of large numbers. The asymptotic normality of the estimation error for the diffusion parameter is obtained with the help of the strong law of large numbers and central-limit theorem. The simulation for the absolute error between estimators and true values is given and the hypothesis testing is made to verify the effectiveness of the estimators.

英文摘要:

The parameter estimation problem for an economic model called Constantinides-Ingersoll model is investigated based on discrete observations. Euler-Maruyama scheme and iterative method are applied to getting the joint conditional probability density function. The maximum likelihood technique is employed for obtaining the parameter estimators and the explicit expressions of the estimation error are given. The strong consistency properties of the estimators are proved by using the law of large numbers for martingales and the strong law of large numbers. The asymptotic normality of the estimation error for the diffusion parameter is obtained with the help of the strong law of large numbers and central-limit theorem. The simulation for the absolute error between estimators and true values is given and the hypothesis testing is made to verify the effectiveness of the estimators.

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期刊信息
  • 《系统工程学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 主管单位:中国科协
  • 主办单位:中国系统工程学会
  • 主编:唐万生
  • 地址:天津市卫津路92号
  • 邮编:300072
  • 邮箱:jsetju@263.net
  • 电话:022-27403197
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1000-5781
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:12-1141/O1
  • 邮发代号:6-95
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国数学评论(网络版),德国数学文摘,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:14850