利用计算实验方法考察T+0交易制度对市场质量的影响.实验结果表明,无论是在正常还是异常波动的市场中,相对于T+1,T+0制度降低了日内波动性、增加了日内流动性和定价效率,因而改善了市场质量.这是由于在T+1制度下,投资者买入股票后,如果当天的市场价格发生较大波动或其预测价格发生了变化,投资者无法进行日内卖出,只能把需要当天卖出的订单累积到下一天早盘集中卖出,从而导致市场价格发生大的波动,如果由此又触发其他投资者的止损点,会导致市场进一步下跌并加大市场波动.T+0制度则避免了上述问题,使得基本价值波动能够在日内消化,同时活跃的日内交易又改善了流动性,从而提高了市场质量.
This paper employs agent-based modeling to study the impact of the T + 0 trading mechanism on market quality. The artificial stock market is built up according to the investor characteristics and market mi- crostructure of Chinese stock markets. The experiment results show that when compared to T + 1, T + 0 increa- ses pricing efficiency and market liquidity, and reduces market volatility, which in turn improves market qual- ity. The reason is that T + 1 does not allow investors to sell when they have observed large changes in the fun- damental value, so that they need to sell in the next opening session, which in turn generates large price im- pacts and high volatility; while T + 0 solves this problem since the large change of fundamental value can re- lease in intraday transactions, and the actively intraday order submission also increases market liquidity. The results suggest that T + 0 can be applied in EFT markets of large stock indexes as a pilot project.