长期以来追赶理论将东亚模式和美、德的经验割裂开来,认为日本的工业化和现代化追赶是不连续的、引进的和外生的。长久以来被忽略的日本制糖业自明治维新到一战前50年发展的奇迹,却鲜明地提出了反例。通过批判地继承既有的殖民地发展论和发展型政府论,研究认为“日糖”奇迹的发生得益于两个层面的延续性:第一和第二产业间的“连续性”;在此基础上制度和技术上的“连续性”。进而通过反事实的推演表明,在两种连续性中,以根植在东亚社会所独具的人际网络中后者的作用更为关键。
The development of East Asia is always explained as a different mode than the industrialization and modernization of Germany or US for long by the 'catching-up' studies, which deeply implies that the so-called 'East Asia Miracle' must be a kind of discontinuity with the pre-industrial stage. The economic and technological performance that Japanese sugar industry has achieve from the Meiji Restoration to the pre-WWI period provides an excellent counter example. Thus it is argued, existing research, such as the colonial development theory and the developmental state argument, both fail to cover the 'whole picture' if the discontinuity assumption was not broke. By contrast, the so-called 'Japanese sugar industrial miracle' should be attribute to the continuity on 2 le- vels, where the first level indicate the incremental transition from agriculture to industry determined by the conver- sion cost, while the second level is the institutional and technological continuity. A simple counterfactual reasoning was employed to examine the alternative explanatory framework that proposed, and the second level continuity which is deeply rooted in the social networks in East Asia society is proved to play a more essential role.