中文摘要：

基于全国31个省区2003~2012年的相关数据,通过对Moran’s I的计算表明中国新型城镇化具有空间自相关性,然后通过固定效应的SDM对各影响因素进行分析,认为各省区的经济发展水平、产业结构非农化、社会保障水平、固定资产投资和外商直接投资对本省区的新型城镇化具有显著的促进作用,但是各因素对邻接省区的影响则不同。在新型城镇化过程中不仅要促进本省区各要素的发展,也要关注邻接省区的战略调整;在制定发展战略时不仅要注重对本省区的影响,也要注意对邻接省区的影响;为了消除新型城镇化过程中的重复建设和恶性竞争,应从国家层面建立宏观调控机制,促进各省区间新型城镇化的协调发展。

英文摘要：

Based on data of 31 provinces and regions in 2003~2012, we know that China’ s new urbanization has spatial autocorrelation by Moran＆#39;s I.Analyzing the influence of various factors through the fixed effects of SDM, we can see development level, industrial structure, social security level, fixed assets investment and foreign direct investment all show a significant role in promoting urbanization,but it is different the influence of different factors on the adjacent provinces.In the process of new urbanization, to each element of the provinces and regions, and the strategic adjustment of the adjacent are all important .We should pay attention to the influence of the respective and the impact on the adjacent provinces and regions as well.In order to eliminate the new repetitive construction and malignant competition, macro regulation and control mechanism should be constructed, which would push coordina-ted development of the provincial interval of new urbanization forward.