结合特征价格模型和Moran’s I指数,对随机抽样的北京2001、2003和2005年住宅价格进行定量分析,发现:2001—2005年,基于天安门、CBD、中关村和奥林匹克中心的城市多中心模型越来越优于单中心模型,说明北京城市空间结构有向多中心演变的趋势;传统行政中心天安门对住宅价格的影响逐渐减小,而代表城市新兴职能的中关村和奥林匹克中心的影响则在扩大,城市职能结构会影响城市空间结构;面积大小、楼层高低、地铁站距离、重点学校距离等因素也对住宅价格有所影响。
In theory,the spatial distribution of housing prices is one important component of the spatial structure in cities.Combining the Hedonic model and Moran’s I index in geo-statistics,this study employed mono-centric and polycentric urban models to analyze a random sample of 1 013,1 314,1 456 apartment units’ transaction prices in the years of 2001,2003 and 2005 in Beijing.Data were collected from Beijing Construction Committee.The results show that:1) models which incorporate multiple urban centers(e.g.Tian’anmen,Jianguomen CBD,Zhongguancun,and Olympic Center),perform much better than those involving a single center,which confirms that the urban spatial structure in Beijing was moving from monocentric to polycentric;2) from 2001 to 2005,the influence of the traditional Tian’anmen Center on housing prices waned while that of the newly emerged centers of Zhongguancun and Olympic Center waxed,which implies that the centers with emerging urban function will exert stronger influences on housing prices distribution;3) area,level,distance to subway station,distance to first-tierschools were also found to have influences on housing prices.