本文根据1991-2005年我国农产品物流行业投入产出数据,利用生产函数拟合法对影响农产品物流行业发展的劳动力、资本、技术三大要素贡献率进行计算与分析:资本投入和技术进步是推动我国农产品物流行业增长的主要力量,劳动要素对农产品物流行业的贡献相对有限。我国农产品物流行业面临劳动要素贡献低,而资本、技术要素虽贡献率高但起点较低的困境。因此必须完善硬件设施、提高技术水平和劳动者素质。
Based on the data of investment and turnover in China's agricultural products logistics industry from 1991 to 2005,this paper calculates and analyzes the contribution rates of the labor,capital and technology elements which have an impact on the development of China's agricultural products logistics industry by production function fitting method.The results show that the capital element and technological progress are the major factors to the growth of the transport services,and the contribution of the labor element is relatively limited.China's agricultural products logistics industry comes across difficult situation that is the low contribution rate of labor element and the lack of high contribution rate of capital and technology.In order to overcome the obstacles,we must improve hardware facilities,strengthen the accumulation of human resources,raise the transportation technological level.