本研究丰富了国际贸易理论和“污染避难所”假说对一国出口商品结构的讨论。笔者从劳动资本要素、技术要素、环境污染多个视角实证检验了中国工业制成品出口结构的变化态势及其原因,研究发现我国整体属于劳动密集型、低技术密集型和轻污染产品出口国,且正朝资本技术密集化和清洁化转变。劳动资本要素、工资、贸易自由化是影响出口结构的主要因素,技术和环境因素作用较弱。以往针对平均行业整体分析的研究结论对更为精确的分离行业研究不适用。
he paper empirically analyzes the changing industrial exports structure in view of labor, capital, technique and environ-ment. It is found that China' s export features labor intensive, low technology intensive and low pollution, and changes towards capital intensive, higher technology intensive and cleaner. Labor, capital, wage and free trade are the main causalities of the evolution, and technological and environmental factors affect weakly. At the same time classical theoretical conclusions are only applicable to average industry as a whole, but not entirely suitable to separate regressions.