以青岛市国际旅游统计数据为基础,利用X-12-ARIMA和TRAMO/SEATS方法,从国际旅游人数和人均旅游花费两个视角对其季节性问题进行深入分析。研究表明,不同视角下的季节性模式存在显著差异,并进而提出缓解季节性问题的相关建议。
Based on the statistical data of the international tourism of Qingdao,this paper made a deep analysis on its seasonality with the X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO/SEATS methods from different perspectives of the international tourist number and the average tourism consumption per person.It was concluded that a significant difference existed from different perspectives and then the relevant countermeasures were proposed to alleviate the seasonality.