中文摘要：

针对煤巷锚网支护系统安全性较难评价的问题，提出了“监测数据一围岩参数反分析一警戒值确定一预测分析一系统评价”的成套评价理论与方法，即采用模糊聚类方法对锚网支护煤巷围岩进行分类，在此基础上采用反分析方法获得了巷道围岩岩体力学参数，通过数值分析方法并结合理论计算获得了巷道顶板离层、收敛变形、锚杆（索）承载的数值解及解析解，确定了安全警戒值；基于监测数据运用非线性拟合技术对锚网支护巷道围岩与支护结构变形，及稳定参数进行了预测与分析评价；在VB编程平台上，将煤巷围岩分类、警戒值确定、监测数据预测和安全评价集于统一的系统中，构建了煤巷锚网支护安全评价系统，实现了实时掌握巷道围岩和支护结构的稳定状态，提高了煤巷锚网支护的信息化施工与管理水平。

英文摘要：

To solve some problems of bolting-wire mesh support system in the coal roadway, we have put forward a set of evaluation theories and methods of ＂monitoring data - inverse analysis method - security alert value - predictive analysis - evaluation system＂. That is, using initial fuzzy system to clas- sify surrounding rocks of coal roadway supported by bolting-wire mesh, then using inverse analysis method to obtain mechanical parameters of roadway surrounding rock mass. And then with the numeri- cal analysis method and theoretical calculation, the roadway roof abscission layer, convergence defor- mation, the numerical and analytic solution of anchor has been obtained. Consequently, security alert value is determined. Based on monitoring data, the nonlinear fitting technology is used to forecast and analysis supporting structure deformations and stability parameters of coal roadway. Finally, on the ba- sis of VB programming language, a system of coal roadway surrounding rock classification, security alert value, monitoring data prediction and safety evaluation is set, and a safety evaluation system of coal roadway supported by bolting-wire mesh is constructed, which can realize real-time master sup-porting structure deformations and stability parameters of coal roadways. It is very helpful to increase information construction and management level of coal roadways with bolting-wire mesh support.