以某水文站50年的四季以及年平均水温序列分析为例,探讨了应用Mann-Kendall非参数检验法方法对水温时间序列趋势和突变进行检验的适应性.通过对实际数据的分析计算,并与相关要素的检验结果对比分析,表明Mann-Kendall检验法能够较好地识别出水温时间序列的长系列变化趋势及突变点.
By taking the data of theannual and seasonal average water temperatures within a period of 50 years from a hydrologi- cal station as the study cases, the applicability of the test on the trend and sudden change of the water temperature time series made by the method of the non-parametric Mann-Kendalltest is discussed herein. Through the analysis and calculation made on the actual data and the comparative analysis made on the testing result of the relevant main factors, it is indicated that the method of Mann-Kendalltest can better identify the long-series changing trend and sudden changing point of the water temperature series.