为探讨冰壶进攻战术能力评价方法,提升中国女子冰壶队进攻战术能力水平,对2011—2013年共3届女子冰壶世界锦标赛各参赛队的后手得分能力(HE%)、先手控分能力(FE%)、先手得分能力(SE%),首局、中局、末局等重要时间段以及得失大分的情况进行统计分析,采用简单相关分析和偏相关分析的方法确定上述主要指标与比赛成绩的关系。结果表明:中国队HE%较强,FE%居中,SE%较弱。首局胜率、中局领先概率较低,末局战术选择有待提高。首局获胜和保持中局优势对最终结果影响较大,为战术布局的制胜因素。建议中国队增加技术练习为战术自由度提供保障,提升首局胜率及中局领先概率,结合冰面及对手特点完善进攻战术能力评价体系。
In order to discuss evaluation method of curling offensive tactics, and enhance the of- fensive tactical level of Chinese woman curling team, this paper analyzes the HE~, FE~, SE~, competition time period included first end, fifth end, and ninth end, and win or lose big end of every team of women curling championships 2011 to 2013. With the simple correlation analysis and partial correlation method, the relationship between the main indicators and the competition results is analyzed. The results show that the HE~ of Chinese team is high level, the FE ~ is middle level, and the SE ~//0 is low level. The ratios of first end winning, keep ahead after fifth end, and choose hammer after ninth end are lower. Winning the first end and main- tain the competitive edge after fifth end are tactical winning factor. It is proposed that Chinese team should increase technical training for the tactical freedom protection, and enhance the wi- ning of first end and after fifth end, improve offensive tactical evaluation system combined with ice and opponent features.