文章通过空间自相关检验和空间局域LISA地图,分析了新型城镇化和产业结构升级在我国各省的分布格局和空间上的相互依赖性,并通过构建空间滞后模型和空间误差模型,分析新型城镇化对中国产业结构升级的影响。结果显示,中国新型城镇化和产业结构升级存在显著的空间相关性,具有高水平区域集中、低水平区域聚集的特点;新型城镇化对产业结构升级具有强烈的空间;中击效应,能够显著提升产业发展层次;金融支撑、科技发展、市场化程度对区域产业结构升级具有显著正向效应,而受引资质量和结构性偏倚的影响,资本流动对产业升级的影响效应不明显。
The paper analyzes the interdependence of new-type urbaniza- tion and industrial structure upgrading in aspects of provincial distribution pattern and space in China by spatial autocorrelation test and spatially local- ized LISA map,and employs SLM and SEM to study the effect of new-type urbanization on industrial structure upgrading in China. It arrives at the fol- lowing conclusions: firstly, in China, new-type urbanization and industrial structure upgrading have significant spatial interdependence which is fea- tured by concentration in high-level regions and aggregation in low-level re- gions; secondly, new-type urbanization has strong spatial shock effects on industrial structure upgrading and can obviously increase industrial develop- ment layers; thirdly, financial support, technology development and marketi- zation degree have significantly positive effects on regional industrial struc- ture upgrading,and capital flow has no significant effect on industry upgra- ding owing to the effects of investment quality and structural bias.