以近30年气候统计资料为依据,采用生理气候指标温湿指数THI和风效指数K对武夷山市旅游气候舒适度进行分析评价;结合近4年客流量的年内变化,计算客流量月指数并划分了旅游活动的淡旺季;最后采用OLS方法建立客流量月指数与气候舒适度指数的相关性模拟方程.结果表明:气候舒适度对武夷山市旅游有较大影响,入境旅游月指数气候弹性系数为0.580%;国内旅游还受到众多社会经济因素(节假日等)的影响,其月指数气候弹性系数为1.246%;景区的一些促销活动对该弹性系数会产生一定影响,从而减少了气候舒适度对武夷山客流量变化的影响.
Based on climate statistical data in recent 30 years,the paper analyses and evaluates climate comfort degree in Wuyishan city with the method of THI and wind effect index(K);then the paper calculates monthly index of tourist amount and presentes tour peak season and tour off-season by using the data of annual tourist amount in four years;lastly,the paper establishes the correlation equation of monthly index of tourist amount and climate comfort degree index.The results show:climate comfort degree has much impact on Wuyishan tourism and inbound tourism monthly index coefficient is 0.580%;besides the factor of climate comfort degree,domestic tourism is affected by many factors like vacation,and its monthly index coefficient is 1.246%;mixed sales promotion in sightseeing district will affect coefficient and lead to reduce the effect which is put on Wuyishan tourist amount by climate comfort degree.