针对城市道路中机非混行路段,机动车和非机动车可能发生相互干扰问题,在实测调查的基础上,建立了基于生存分析的模型,利用非参数法对机非干扰行为进行建模分析.结果显示,当机动车和非机动车的道路宽度、交通流量等条件相同时,机动车驾驶员比非机动车骑行人对距离更为敏感,机动车和非机动车流量大,非机动车速度较高,机动车速度较低,干扰距离较小;反之,干扰距离较大.结果为不同情况下机非干扰行为评价、机非隔离设施的设置、交通安全管理提供参考依据.
Motor vehicles and non-motor vehicles may interfere with each other in the mixed traffic. The survival analysis model is established based on the field survey,and a non-parameter method is used to analyze the interference. The results show that the driver is more sensitive to the distance than the rider.When other conditions are the same,the higher the volumes of the motor vehicles and non-motor vehicles,the higher the speed of the non-motor vehicles,the lower the speed of the motor vehicles,and the smaller the interference distance. Results are helpful for the motor vehicle and non-motor vehicle interference evaluation,the setting conditions of the isolation facilities,traffic safety management.