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样本轮换下两阶段抽样连续调查的统计方法及应用
  • ISSN号:1002-3674
  • 期刊名称:《中国卫生统计》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:R181.2[医药卫生—流行病学;医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]
  • 作者机构:[1]苏州大学医学部公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室,215123
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:81273188)
中文摘要:

目的 为实际需要的样本轮换下两阶段抽样连续调查提供科学的调查方法与统计公式;为制订某核电站职工辐射防护措施提供依据。方法 采用数理统计学的理论方法推导统计量的计算公式;采用本文研究的样本轮换下两阶段抽样连续调查的统计方法,对某核电站职工的白细胞数进行了连续三年的调查分析;采用SAS编程模拟调查分析100个样本,对本文研究的调查方法及其统计公式作信度与效度评价。结果 对样本轮换下两阶段抽样连续调查,推导出总体均值的估计量及其方差与估计方差的计算公式;该核电站职工两阶段抽样均轮换样本的2010年、2011年白细胞数总体均值的估计量分别为5.88、5.84(10^3/mm^3),其标准误分别为0.247、0.255,与一般成人白细胞均数的差异具有统计学意义;100个总体均数的95%可信区间均包含模拟总体均数。结论 本文研究的样本轮换下两阶段抽样连续调查的统计方法具有较好的理论与实际意义以及较高的效度与信度;该核电站职工的白细胞数偏低,应引起相关部门的高度重视。

英文摘要:

Objective To provide a scientific survey method and formulae of sample rotation under two-stage sampling, and to offer scientific basis for the relevant departments to set the strategy on radiation protection. Methods We derived the statistic formulae with mathematical statistics method. Sample rotation under two-stage sampling was applied to successive survey on the number of white blood cells (WBC) three years. SAS programming to simulate 100 samples was taken to make validity and reliability assessment on the survey method and its statistical formulae. Results We derived the formulae of estimation of population mean, variance and estimated variance for the sample rotation under two-stage sampling. After two-stage sample rotation, population means of nuclear workers’ WBC were respectively 5.88 and 5.84 (10^3/mm^3) in 2010 and 2011, and corresponding standard errors were respectively 0.247 and 0.255, which were of statistical differences compared with healthy adults. Simulated population means was totally included in 100 population mean 95% confidence intervals. Conclusion Sample rotation under two-stage sampling and its formulae have achieved well theoretical and practical significance, which are also of high validity and reliability. For the nuclear workers, numbers of their WBC were lower than healthy adults in 2010 and 2011, which should be paid more attention to.

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期刊信息
  • 《中国卫生统计》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国卫生和计划生育委员会
  • 主办单位:中国卫生信息学会 中国医科大学
  • 主编:孟群
  • 地址:沈阳市沈北新区蒲河路77号
  • 邮编:110122
  • 邮箱:zgwstj@126.com
  • 电话:024-31939626
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1002-3674
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:21-1153/R
  • 邮发代号:8-39
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:20780