用美国NOAA卫星提供的1974-2004年逐日OLR资料,选取江淮流域典型旱涝年进行合成分析,再利用Butterworth带通滤波器进行滤波,分别得到旱涝年30~60d的OLR低频分量,并分析了旱涝年夏季OLR及其低频振荡分布特征与传播差异,最后研究了夏季青藏高原南侧与华北地区OLR低频变化与江淮降水的关系,结果表明:旱涝年夏季东亚地区OLR低频分量的经纬向传播差异是造成江淮地区夏季旱涝的原因之一;典型早年江淮流域降水与青藏高原南侧逐候的OLR低频分量显著正相关,而在典型涝年则是负相关;华北地区存在负(正)OLR低频分量可能导致滞后其20d的江淮流域降水偏少(多)。
By using the CAC daily outgoing long wave radiation (OLR) data, the representative droughts and floods are chosen, and 30-60 day low-frequency oscillation (LFO) of OLR is found by the band-pass filter. Then the different distribution characteristics and propagation of the OLR and OLR-LFO in summer are analyzed. Finally, the relationship between the OLR-LFO in Southern Tibetan Plateau, north China and the rainfall in Yangtze and Huaihe River area are studied. The results show that: in drought years OLR as well as OLR-LFO is remarkably different compared to the cases in flood years, and the different precipitation may be caused by the different meridional and zonal-travelling of the OLR- LFO; there is close positive correlation between the Southern Tibetan Plateau and the rainfall in representative drought years, however it is negative in flood years; positive/negative OLR-LFO of north China can lead to the twenty days lagged abnormal drought/flood in the Yangtze and Huaihe River.