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中文摘要：
根据广东省水资源特点，在实地调查研究国内外发达国家与地区的用水水平及水资源保障情况的基础上，运用情景分析法对广东省发达社会水资源持续利用情景进行了描述分析，在此基础上运用层次分析法构建了水资源持续利用情景指标体系及其实现状态预断评价模型与障碍因子诊断模型。
英文摘要：
Applying the Scenario Analysis Method （SAM）, based on practical water resources use data of developed countries or regions, such as the United States, Israel, Hongkong, this paper describes intending scenario of sustainable water resources use of developed society in Guangdong province. Considering Guangdong＇s features of water resources, the paper sets up a hierarchy evaluation index system of sustainable water resources use scenario of developed society in Guangdong province. Also, the paper designs an evaluation model to estimate the advances in sustainable water resources use, and builds a diagnosis model to find the indices which affect sustainability of water resources.
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