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基于主成分分析和因子分析的宁夏水资源承载力研究
  • ISSN号:1000-0852
  • 期刊名称:《水文》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]
  • 作者机构:[1]宁夏大学土木与水利工程学院,宁夏银川750021, [2]宁夏节水灌溉与水资源调控工程技术研究中心,宁夏银川750021, [3]旱区现代农业水资源高效利用教育部工程研究中心,宁夏银川750021
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(51169021,51569022)
中文摘要:

为了探求宁夏水资源承载力状况,利用主成分分析法和因子分析法,在分析宁夏2004-2014年水资源承载力状况的基础上,对宁夏5市2013年水资源承载力分水资源支持力、社会经济技术水平和社会生活水平3个方面进行综合考虑,得到宁夏5市的水资源利用状况指数和分级标准.具体得到以下几个结论:(1)2004-2014年间,宁夏水资源承载力仅在2005-2006年有所波动,其余年份两种方法结果一致,11年间保持稳定上升;(2)对于宁夏5市2013年水资源承载力状况,主成分分析结果由大到小排序为吴忠市、银川市、石嘴山市、固原市和中卫市,因子分析结果由大到小排序为吴忠市、银川市、固原市、石嘴山市和中卫市;(3)建立宁夏5市水资源承载力状况分级阈值,主成分分析下吴忠市和银川市的水资源利用状况高,石嘴山市的水资源利用状况中等,固原市和中卫市的水资源利用状况低;因子分析下吴忠市和银川市的水资源利用状况高,其余3市水资源利用状况都较低.

英文摘要:

In order to explore the situation of water resources carrying capacity in Ningxia, this paper analyzed the water resources carrying capac - ity in Ningxia during 2004-2014 by using the principal component analysis and factor analysis, then took into account comprehensively including water-support-capacity, soci-economic technology and soci-living level of five cities in Ningxia, and got water resources utilization index and classification criteria in different areas. The results show as follows: (1) The consequence ofwater resources carrying capacity is only fluctuated from 2005 to 2006 during 2004-2014, and the other years were consistent under the two methods, they both had steadily increased in the past 11years. (2) For the water resources carrying capacity of five cities in Ningxia in 2013, the descending order of principal component analysis are Wuzhong, Yinchuan, Shizuishan, Guyuan and Zhongwei; the descending order of factor analysis are Zhongwei, Yinchuan, Guyuan, Shizuishan and Zhongwei. (3) The threshold value of classification of water resources carrying capacity in Ningxia was established. As the result of principal component analysis, the higher grades of water resource exploiting are Wuzhong and Yinchuan, the medium grades of water resource exploiting is Shizuishan, and the lower grades ofwaterresource exploiting are Guyuan and Zhongwei. As the result offactor analysis, the higher grades ofwater resource exploiting are Wuzhong and Yinchuan, and rest ofthree regions all have lowergrades.

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期刊信息
  • 《水文》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中华人民共和国水利部
  • 主办单位:水利部水利局
  • 主编:邓坚
  • 地址:北京市白广路二条2号
  • 邮编:100053
  • 邮箱:J.hyd@mwr.gov.cn
  • 电话:010-63203599
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1000-0852
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1814/P
  • 邮发代号:2-430
  • 获奖情况:
  • 《CAJ-CD规范》执行优秀奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:10092