为探究中国电力消费增长与经济增长相互偏离的原因,采用LMDI分解法对2005-2014年电力消费量及产业增加值等相关统计数据进行分解。结果表明:引起中国电力消费增长与经济增长大幅度偏离的主要因素是电力消费强度发生变化;在"十一五"和"十二五"时期,结构效应发挥的作用逐步超过电耗强度效应,电力消费强度下降幅度相较"十一五"期间有所加大,但大多数细分产业电耗强度仍对电力消费强度下降起着制约作用。
In order to explore the reasons of the deviation between China's electricity consumption growth and economic growth.In this paper,using the LMDI decomposition method to study the relevant statistical data of 2005-2014 electricity consumption and industrial added value.The results showed that the key factor of causing China's electricity consumption to deviate greatly from economic growth is the change of electricity consumption intensity;In the Eleventh Five-year and the Twelfth Five-year Plan,structure effects play the role gradually over the intensity effects;Electricity consumption intensity decreased greatly compared to the Eleventh Five-year plan,but most of the industrial electricity intensity effects still play a restricted role in the decreasing of electricity consumption intensity.