中文摘要：

真菌引起的食品腐败和食物中毒是重要的食品安全问题。通过环境因素对真菌生长和产毒影响的预测微生物学探讨,建立回归线性方程和预测模型,可随时了解食品中真菌的活动状况,对预测真菌引起的食品腐败变质和食物中毒具有重要价值。文章介绍了预测微生物模型在食品真菌生长及产毒研究中的应用。

英文摘要：

Food spoilage and food poisoning caused by fungi is an important issue in the field of food safety.,The linear regression equations and predictive models are developed through the study on the effect of environmental factors on fungi growth and mycotoxin production.This is easier to understand fungi activities.Predictive microbiology plays an important role in evaluation of food spoilage and food poisoning.The application of predictive modelling in fungi growth and mycotoxin production are reviewed.