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股市与债市之间波动溢出效应及动态相关性实证分析
  • ISSN号:1006-0456
  • 期刊名称:南昌大学学报(工科版)
  • 时间:2012.3.3
  • 页码:87-92
  • 分类:F830.9[经济管理—金融学]
  • 作者机构:[1]南昌大学金融证券研究所,江西南昌330031, [2]南昌大学理学院,江西南昌330031
  • 相关基金:基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(71063015);江西省社科“十一五”规划资助项目(10YJ61);江西省高校人文社科资助项目(GL0934)
  • 相关项目:鄱阳湖地区生态资本、生态经济与金融生态空间耦合发展模式及优化策略研究
作者: 何宜庆|陈平|
中文摘要:

基于VAR(K)-BEKK—MGARCH(1,1)和AR(K)-DCC(1,1).MGARCH模型探讨了我国股票市场与债券市场之间波动溢出效应和动态相关性。结果表明:股市对企债市场、企债市场对国债市场,这2种情况存在单向的波动溢出效应,而这3个市场其他组合方向的波动溢出效应均不显著,可以得出股市对债市有单方面的波动影响。国债和企债、国债和股市,它们之间的相关关系具有时变性,而企债和股市间的相关关系均比较稳定不具有时变性,债市和股市的相关关系较弱,2个市场分割特征明显,连通性很弱,市场资源配置能力差。

英文摘要:

Based on VAR (K) -BEKK-MGARCH ( 1,1 ) and AR (K) -DCC ( 1,1 ) -MGARCH models ,the volatility spillover effects and dynamic correlation among the government bond, corporate bond and stock market in our country were discussed. The results showed that the following two situations exists single direction volatility spillover effects:stock market to corporate bond market, corporate bond market to government bond market. It is concluded that the stock markets has unilateral volatility spillover effects to bond markets. And the volatility spillover effects are not significant on other combined directions among the three markets. The correlation between the government bond market and corporate bond market has a significant time-varying characteristic. The correlation between the government debt market and stock market is also. The correlation between the corporate bond market and stock market is stable. Overall, the correlation between stock markets and debt market is weak, and the nature of market segmentation is evident, the connectivity is very weak, the capacity of market in allocation of resources is disappointing.

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期刊信息
  • 《南昌大学学报:工科版》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:南昌大学
  • 主办单位:南昌大学
  • 主编:谢明勇
  • 地址:南昌市南京东路235号南昌大学期刊社
  • 邮编:330047
  • 邮箱:NCDG@chinajournal.net.cn
  • 电话:0791-88305803
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1006-0456
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:36-1194/T
  • 邮发代号:44-38
  • 获奖情况:
  • 曾获首届江西省优秀期刊质量奖,第二届江西省优秀科技期刊评比先进科技期刊奖,第三届江西省优秀期刊版式设计奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),波兰哥白尼索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,中国中国科技核心期刊
  • 被引量:4072