中文摘要：

采用动力学轨道积分方法模拟了GOCE卫星轨道,利用模拟轨道估计了GOCE卫星主要摄动加速度的量级及贡献,分析了日月引力、固体潮、海潮、大气潮和固体极潮等保守力对GOCE卫星运动和重力梯度观测值的影响。结果表明：①在1.0×10^-9m/s^2的非保守力测量精度内,除大气潮可忽略外,其余摄动必须考虑;②考虑GOCE预期定轨精度（3 cm）,在弧长小于2.0 h的短弧定轨中,固体极潮和大气潮的影响可忽略,在长弧定轨中,忽略任何一种保守力的轨道预报时间均不足0.5 d;③各种潮汐对重力梯度观测值的影响量级均小于GOCE预期的测量精度（3 mE）。考虑潮汐对重力梯度观测值的影响不具有随机性和避免重力场信号混叠等因素,必须对重力梯度观测值进行潮汐改正。

英文摘要：

A 30-day are of the GOCE satellite orbit is simulated using the method of orbit integration. The maximum perturbation accelerations and their percentage contribution in the sum of all accelerations due to the lunisolar perturbations, Earth tides, ocean tides, atmospheric tides, pole tides, relativity effects, atmospheric drag and solar radiation pressure are computed on the basis of simulated orbit. Moreover, the motion of GOCE satellite influenced by the conservative forces and tidal effects on gravity gradients are analyzed and evaluated. The analysis results can be as a reference for mission. the POD and gravity field recovery of GOCE