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中文摘要：
本文研究了能源需求上涨环境下的双寡头重复博弈模型,同时综合考虑了需求上涨对生产成本的影响。试图从有限理性的角度出发,分析两个寡头厂商的产量决策及如何在动态博弈过程中达到均衡,并对影响Nash均衡的条件做了深入的探讨。最后通过数字仿真对系统进行分析。结果显示：如果某寡头企业在其他条件保持不变的情况下单方面扩大自己的生产规模,那么它可以获得更高的产量和利润,但是会导致整个系统不稳,从而引起分叉,使系统陷入混沌状态。
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