城市群土地集约利用与城镇化耦合协调发展是土地管理学研究的核心问题,实现土地集约利用与城镇化水平的高度协调,对促进城市群的可持续发展意义重大。运用全局主成分分析法、变异系数法的综合确权法以提高指标权重精度,基于耦合度、协调度、相对发展度模型测算、分析与比较京津冀、长三角及珠三角城市群协调发展水平,借助空间自相关模型分析沿海三大城市群协调发展水平的空间集聚特征与规律。研究表明:京津冀城市群协调发展水平最高,其次为珠三角与长三角,城市群协调发展水平的优化程度表现为"京津冀〉珠三角〉长三角",城市群协调发展度的空间相关性强弱表现为"京津冀〉长三角〉珠三角",京津冀城市群各城市协调发展水平整体逐步趋向于中高度协调,长三角、珠三角趋于中低度协调;研究前期新型城镇化发展滞后是影响京津冀与长三角城市群协调发展水平的主要原因,研究中后期京津冀新型城镇化超前发展,长三角则逐步趋于土地集约与新型城镇化同步发展,珠三角城市群新型城镇化发展进程进步显著,但仍滞后于土地集约利用。
The coordinated development of intensive land use and urbanization in urban agglomeration is the core issue of land management. It is of great significance to achieve the high coordination of intensive land use and urbanization,which may promoti the sustainable development of urban agglomeration. Using Generalization Principal Component Analysis,Variation Coefficient Method to improve the accuracy of the index weight,the paper uses coupling degree model and coordination degree model,relative development model to measure,analyze,and compare the coordinated development level of Jing-jin-ji,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations. Spatial autocorrelation model is used to explore the characteristics and rules of spatial agglomeration of coordinated development level. The results showed that: The coordinated development level of Jing-jin-ji ranks first,followed by the Pearl River Delta,and Yangtze River Delta. The optimization degree of coordinated development level ranked as follows: Jing-jin-ji,the Pearl River Delta,and the Yangtze River Delta.The spatial correlation of the coordinated development degree ranked as follows: Jing-jin-ji,the Yangtze River Delta,and Pearl River Delta. The coordinated development level in Jing-jin-ji gradually tends to be moderate and high coordination,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta tend to be moderate and low coordination. The lags of new urbanization development is the main factor to influence the coordinated development level of Jing-jin-ji and Yangtze River Delta in the early study. The new urbanization development of Jing-jin-ji is speeding-up and the Yangtze River Delta is in the state of synchronous development in the late of the study. The new urbanization development of Pearl River Delta has achieved great progress,but still lags behind the intensive land use.