为定量化的研究人口增长对教育和经济发展的影响,建立了考虑人口发展的教育-经济投入占用产出动态模型。该模型详细反映了三个系统之间的密切联系,主要包括人口发展方程、教育发展方程、消费决定方程、投资决定方程和产出决定方程,用于研究在一定的人口系统发展规律和人口增长条件下,要满足人口的消费需求,并在一定的技术发展水平下达到充分就业目标,所要求的教育规模和教育经费投入情况,以及相应的经济增长速度和经济结构变化情况。编制了2007年教育-经济投入占用产出表,以此为基础进行了模拟分析。
In order to quantitatively investigate the effects of population growth on educational and economic development,this paper builds the extended education-economy input-output dynamic model with assets considering population development.The framework reflects the relations of the three systems in detail,and includes five models:the population developing equations,education developing equations,consumption determination equations,investment determination equations and output determination equations.The model is used to analyze the required education scale,the economic growth and structural change,to meet the consumption demand of population and to get full employment under the population system movement and growth technology development.