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中部地区经济增长中的水土资源“增长尾效”对比研究
  • ISSN号:1007-7588
  • 期刊名称:资源科学
  • 时间:0
  • 页码:1781-1787
  • 分类:F124[经济管理—世界经济]
  • 作者机构:[1]南昌大学经济与管理学院,南昌330031, [2]复旦大学公共管理与公共政策研究国家哲学社会科学创新基地,上海200433
  • 相关基金:国家社会科学基金重大招标项目(编号:10ZD&032);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40961009,41110104005);中国博士后基金项目(编号:20110490673);教育部人文社会科学青年项目(编号:09YJC790136);江西省青年科学家(井冈之星)培养对象计划资助(编号:200017).
  • 相关项目:环鄱阳湖区水环境胁迫下的城市化格局响应与调控模拟
中文摘要:

基于内生经济增长理论构建出了内生的经济发展中的水土资源"尾效"模型,并以中部的山西、安徽、江西、河南、湖北和湖南等六省为例进行实证分析。利用SVAR分析水土资源与经济增长是否存在关系的基础上,通过纳入水土资源和人力资源的数据进行"增长尾效"的面板数据分析,量化测度出中部六省水土资源"尾效"的数值,数值显示,六省的水土资源已成为其经济增长的阻力。并通过比较分析得出:经济增长受到水土资源约束影响最大的是安徽省,每年的经济增长速度由于水土资源的耗费要降低大概0.53%,其次是山西、河南、江西、湖北,湖南的经济增长速度受到水土资源约束的影响最小,仅为0.09%。最后为中部地区水土资源可持续利用的提出对策及建议。

英文摘要:

Since the strategy of the rise of the Central Region of China was put forward,governments and officials have tended to focus on economic growth.However,related resource and environment issues are paid less attention.There is an urgent need to understand whether the shortage of resources has restricted economic growth.First,the authors expounded reality of economic growth and resource relationships in China.Second,based on the endogenous economic growth theory,water and land resource elements were taken into account in an economic growth model,and an endogenous growth model about water and land in economy growth was built and applied to the central region of China.The first detailed process was to define the consumption drag of water and land resources,and to propose function formulas and principles by analyzing the economic basis of the growing drag.After that,one must make sure if there is a relationship between economic growth and water and land resource through SVAR.If any,panel analysis should be performed.Then,their drag values caused by the lack of land and water are calculated.According to the results of SVAR model analysis,there are relationships between economic growth and water and land resources in six provinces of the central region.It is helpful to examine how the detailed relationships work qualitatively through Impulse Response analysis.However,calculating restrictions of water and land resources to economic growth quantitatively is more valuable.Results show that water and land resources have restrained economic growth in six provinces of the central region of China.The most significant restriction of water and land resources to economic growth is displayed in Anhui Province.The annual economic growth rate decreases 0.53% probably because of water and land resource consumption,followed by Shanxi Province,Henan Province,Jiangxi Province,and Hubei province.The minimal one is Hunan Province,only 0.09%.At last,according to the analysis above,strategies and suggestions on ensuring sustainable developme

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期刊信息
  • 《资源科学》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
  • 主编:成升魁
  • 地址:北京安定门外大屯路甲11号
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:zykx@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64889446
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1007-7588
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3868/N
  • 邮发代号:82-4
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:42316