以中国上海和英国伦敦黄金市场为例,应用R/S分析方法实证研究了国内外黄金价格波动性及其演化。研究表明:国内外黄金价格波动存在集聚性和持续性的特征,而且国外市场金价波动的上述特征强于国内市场;国内外黄金价格波动都是由最初的强持续性向弱持续性演化,而国际市场由强持续性向弱持续性演化的速度慢于国内市场。
Taking Shanghai in China and London gold markets for cases, the paper studies gold price fluctuation and evolution at home and abroad by use of R / S analytical technique. Studies show that gold price fluctuation at home and abroad exists concentration and persistence characteristics, and the above - mentioned fluctuation characteristics in foreign markets are stronger than in domestic markets; domestic and international gold price fluctuations evolve from initial strong persistence to weak persistence , while the evolution speed of international markets is slower than the domestic markets.