基于"均等化平均标准"的概念和官员行为理论从理论层面阐释地方政府财政自给能力影响转移支付的公共服务均等化效用的作用机理,以地方政府财政自给能力为门槛变量,利用中国大陆31个省级行政区的面板数据,构建门槛模型从财政自给的视角实证考察1994—2012年中央转移支付与地区间公共服务均等化的关系,结果表明,转移支付制度能够有条件地有效促进公共服务均等化,由于存在着三门槛效应,其均等化效用随着地方财政自给能力的提升呈现先增强后减弱的态势。地方政府财政自给能力低下是导致转移支付制度不能有效促进公共服务均等化的重要原因,增强地方财政自给能力已是当务之急。
Based on "equalizing standards" concept and local government officials" behavior theory, this paper systematically explains the mechanism of effects of local fiscal self - sufficiency on Public Serv- ices' Equalization Effect of Transfer Payments System, and takes local fiscal self- sufficiency as the thresh- old variable and empirically investigates influence of local fiscal self - sufficiency on relationship between transfer payments system and public services' equalization in China from 1994 to 2012 by constructing a panel threshold regression model. It comes to the following conclusions that transfer payment system can ef- fectively promote the equalization of public services under certain conditions. As the three threshold effect exists, its degree of equalization first increases and then decreases with the strengthening of local fiscal self - sufficiency capacity. The low capacity of local fiscal self - sufficiency is responsible for the low efficiency of transfer payments achieving equalization in public service. Therefore to strengthen the capacity of local fiscal self - sufficiency has been a thing of top priority.