中文摘要：

基于可拓理论的综合预警模型是基于参变量物元的动态评价模型,该模型利用层次分析法确定各预警指标的权重,以综合关联度作为评价准则,避免了预警模型的主观性。该模型在河南神火煤电股份有限公司新庄矿安全预警分析中应用,指出了该矿的整体安全状况及存在的问题,并提出相应的改进对策,表明该方法计算简便,易于推广使用。

英文摘要：

Synthetic early-warning model,which is based on extension theory,is a dynamic model based on variable matter element with parameters.In this model,the weight of early-warning indices is ascertained with the method of analytical hierarchy process,and the comprehensive correlative degree is taken as the evaluation criteria.Therefore,the subjectivity is avoided in the model.This model was applied to safety early-warning analysis on Xinzhuang coal mine of Henan Shenhuo coal ＆ electricity corporation Ltd.The general safety situation and problems were pointed out,and the corresponding countermeasures to improve safety were put forward.This application of early-warning analysis indicates that this method is easy in calculation,and thus worth popularizing and applying in coalmines.