中文摘要：

采用1999—2014年联合国服务贸易数据库的统计数据,将＂一带一路＂沿线65个国家分为7个地区,在测算中国和＂一带一路＂沿线国家11类服务业的比较优势和竞争优势的基础上,综合评价其国际竞争力及变化趋势,进而分析中国与＂一带一路＂沿线国家服务贸易潜力,结果表明：中国服务贸易的出口潜力主要在于＂旅游业＂＂建筑业＂和＂其他商务服务业＂,其次是＂交通运输业＂及＂计算机和信息服务业＂,这些服务业在做大做强的同时,还需要与＂一带一路＂沿线国家进行竞争性合作和产业内贸易;而中国的＂金融服务业＂＂保险业＂＂通讯业＂＂版税和许可证费用＂＂个人、文化和休闲服务业＂和＂政府服务及其他服务业＂的出口潜力存在不同程度的不足,需要与＂一带一路＂沿线国家进行互补性合作和产业间贸易。

英文摘要：

According to the statistics of UN Service Trade database from 1999 to 2014,this paper divides the 65 countries of ＂One Belt and One Road＂into seven regions,and uses a series of indexes of comparative advantage and competitive advantage to calculate the international competitiveness and its change trend of 11 service trade sectors between China and the countries of ＂One Belt and One Road＂. The comprehensive evaluation results show that China service trade export potential lies mainly in tourism,construction and other business services,followed by transportation,computer and information services,these service industries not only should be further enlarged and strengthened,but also need the cooperation and competition with the countries of ＂One Belt and One Road＂,and should carry out intra-industry services trade. There are potential shortcomings in different degree of Chinese industries for financial services,insurance services,communications services,royalties and license fees,personal,cultural and recreational services,and government services,which need for complementary trade with the countries of ＂One Belt and One Road＂.