中文摘要：

由一个部件提供商和一个装配商组成的两级组装供应链系统,部件提供商提供两种不同的部件给装配商进行装配;分析在单销售周期内,系统上同时存在部件的生产提前期和装配提前期的不确定,以及需求的不确定时,系统的特性.采用博弈论方法,装配商确定装配计划提前期,以及向部件提供商提交的订购量;而部件提供商确定部件生产计划提前期,以及部件批发价格.得出,首先,不确定提前期导致供应链系统订购量减小;其次,在分散控制的组装供应链系统中,系统的总生产、装配计划提前期,要大于集中控制系统中的,并且装配计划提前期与部件生产计划提前期无关;再者,过大的提前期不确定性对组装供应链系统的影响要比需求不确定对组装供应链的影响大.

英文摘要：

A two-level assembly supply chain is constituted by a component supplier and an assembler, and the supplier provides two different component parts for the assembler. In a single selling period the supply chain behavior is analyzed under the uncertainty of demand and the production lead times of component parts. By using game theory the assembling decides the assembly lead time and submits an order quantity to the supplier, at the same time, the supplier must determine when to produce component parts and how much to charge the assembler by considering the order quantity so as to maximize its total expected profit. The following results are concluded, first, lead time uncertainty entices the supply chain to decrease its order quantity; second, the sum of production lead times and assembling lead time in the decentralized supply chain is larger than that in the centralized supply chain, and the assembling lead time is independent of the production lead times of component parts; third, the extra lead time uncertainty impacting on the assembly supply chain is bigger than demand uncertainty.