通过对博尔塔拉蒙古自治州2002—2007年水资源统计数据及其相关的社会、经济与生态环境数据分析,构建了水资源利用和谐度评价指标体系,运用AHP法确定各评价指标的相对权重,借助模糊理论中的和谐度概念,建立了评价水资源利用和谐度的数学模型,定量分析博尔塔拉蒙古自治州的水资源利用和谐度。结果表明:①2002—2007年间博州地区的水资源配置和谐度呈逐年上升的态势;②博乐、精河和温泉三市县的水资源利用和谐度基本呈上升趋势,2007年处于较和谐状态,和谐度差异很小。提出了提高水资源配置和谐度的对策。
Evaluation index system of harmony degree of water resources utilization was established by analysis of water resources,social,economical and ecological statistical data in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture between 2002 and 2007.The mathematical model of assessing harmony degree of water resources utilization was established in virtue of harmony degree concept of fuzzy theory and relative weight of each assessing index was determined by AHP method.The harmony degree of water resources utilization was analyzed quantitatively in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture.The results showed as followed:(1) the harmony degree of water resources allocation increased year after year in Bortala region between 2002 and 2007;(2) water resources utilization harmony degree in Bole,Jinghe and Warm spring County of Bortala presented ascending tendency basically,which was in the harmony state each in 2007 and their harmony degree differences were small.The countermeasures to increase harmony degree of water resources utilization were put forward.